My Top 10 NFL Draft Prop Bets
There isn’t a lot of sports you can bet on nowadays, but luckily the NFL is keeping the Draft tonight. You can watch us tonight with the Energetic, Efficient, & Elegant (EnEffEl for short) Draft Coverage starting at 8pm EDT.
For my gambling pals out there, I see A LOT of props to bet on and to quote my buddy Big Cat, "I LOVE THE BOARD". Here are the 10 props I’m liking most:
OT Josh Jones (Houston) Over/Under 28.5
OVER +123. Jones is a borderline 1st or 2nd round talent who helped himself with a big senior year and Senior Bowl in mobile. He’s older than the other OTs and more developed, but most big boards and mocks have him as a 2nd round guy. Also good value here at +123.
EDGE K’Lavon Chaisson (LSU) Over/Under 16.5
OVER -134. Chaisson is seen as the second best EDGE rusher in the draft. He’ll be a classic case of drafting traits over production as he only had 9.5 sacks in his college career. The Falcons (picking 16th) and the Cowboys (picking 17th) like him, but I think some talent gets pushed down and Atlanta has been heavily linked to moving up.
Total Alabama Players Drafted in the 1st round Over/Under 5.5
UNDER – 130. This one seems too easy. QB Tua Tagovailoa, OT Jedrick Wills, WR Jerry Jeudy, WR Henry Ruggs III – that’s four and they’re locks to be top 20 players. Then we’ve got CB Trevon Diggs and S Xavier McKinney. Maybe one gets in, but both?! Can’t see it. Hammer the under even at -130.
CB Kristian Fulton (LSU) Over/Under 24.5
OVER -134. Fulton is a nice player, but was targeted A LOT which will happen when the CB on the other side of you is one of the best prospects in the country in freshman Derek Stingley Jr. Fulton projected at 24.5 is right where most expect the run on CBs to be in, but I can’t see Fulton going that early.
CB C.J. Henderson (Florida) Over/Under 12.5
OVER -134. Lots of buzz about him going high, potentially even in the top 10. The Raiders are at #12 and have a need a CB, but I can’t see it. There are too many risers and not enough fallers and Henderson is a CB who has tackling issues. He’s not a top 12 pick this year.
LB/S Isaiah Simmons Over/Under 7.5
OVER -110. Simmons range appears to be 7-12 from Peter Schrager so getting the over here seems to be good value. He’s such a multi-tooled player, but Tackles and Quarterbacks will go ahead of him just based on positional value.
WR Henry Ruggs (Alabama) Raiders +600
Raiders +600. Jon Gruden LOVES speed. When he was in Tampa he was enamored with a RB out of Eastern Carolina named Chris Johnson. He would talk about what he could do with his gamebreaking speed. Instead, the team drafted Kansas CB Aqib Talib and word was Gruden always regretted it. Chris Johnson went on to run for 2,000+ yards and became CJ2k and Gruden was out in Tampa not long after. Ruggs has game breaking speed and is a similar mold of WR as Tyreek Hill who is in the division. The Raiders need a WR and I think Ruggs is going to be the top guy on their board. Oh, and the GM Mike Mayock LOVES drafting guys with Championship pedigree and Alabama has been pretty good during Ruggs tenure. Great value at +600.
CB Jeff Okudah (Ohio State) Over/Under 4.5
OVER -130. He is most commonly mocked ot the Lions at #3, but I’m hard pressed to see a way where Detroit sticks at #3 and picks. Too many teams armed with Draft capital need QBs. Okudah will still be a top 10 pick, but I can’t see him being a top 4 pick.
QB Jordan Love (Utah State) Over/Under 23.5
Under +110. Love is an enticing talent and I think a team will trade up for him. The Saints pick 24th and they’ll likely take him if he’s there, so look for a team trading up to #23 with New England to leapfrog Who Dat Nation if he even falls that far.
DT Javon Kinlaw (South Carolina) Over/Under 13.5
OVER +125. Kinlaw is a hulking 6’6” 324 lbs. and overs a lot of upside as an interior rusher. He’s got potential landing spots as high as #9 and San Francisco, who picks 13th just traded away their best DT in DeForest Buckner. But San Francisco has the 31st pick and then doesn’t pick again until the 4th round. They’ll be looking to acquire more picks and moving down is the best way to do so. Look for the 49ers to trade out and Kinlaw to fall a couple spots lower, so we’re going OVER 13.5.
*All odds provided by Penn National Gaming