Cleveland Browns

Cleveland Browns

Under 10.5 wins -113

Div: +140

SB: +1600

Everyone is back on offense, third easiest schedule, favored in 13 games … I can hear the bros on twitter now… “Over is a lock”. *Ahem* Until further notice the Browns are the still the third best team in this division. 

Let me break this down simply. This team overachieved last year. They were 7-2 in one score games, plus five in turnovers and squeaked out 11 wins. Now everyone just assumes they can replicate that once again? Pump the breaks. I mentioned the media hype with the Miami Dolphins, here's another team getting entirely too much love. The star-studded offense has never been in question, ODB Jr, Chubb and Hunt in the backfield, Landry, Baker etc. But there was a major overlooked issue with this team. DEFENSE. 

There's a reason why the old adage in the NFL is "defense wins championships". You can only win by trying to out score your opponent for so long at some point in time your defense has to step up. So Stefanski went out and picked up five guys in free agency. We'll see how it pans out for them in the long term, but in the short term, give me the under 10.5 wins :)